Analysis

10 year US Treasury notes update – 21 October 2024

We were looking for a counter-trend 40 day cycle upswing to around 113 and then a top out and decline into the 80 day cycle trough due around mid next month. What next?

Macro Outlook – 21 October 2024

Our Monday update on macro instruments, including BTC: we are looking for the next minor inflection to be the 20 day cycle peak due by month end and above 70,000

Copper update – 18 October 2024

In Monday’s macro outlook we were looking lower for the 80 day cycle trough. Price has continued to fall across the week, but with an uplift in China indices, we could be seeing a bottoming formation now. Time to consider targets and confirmation levels:

Russell 2000 Index longer range – 18 October 2024

Monthly bar chart shows super regular and coherent 54 month cycle rhythm. The last 54 month cycle trough was in October 2023. For a slightly more granular view, we look at weekly bars

US Dollar vs. South African Rand (USDZAR)- 17 October 2024

The South African Rand (ZAR) is sensitive to industrial metals prices, which in turn makes it a China and a global growth play. Other things equal and simply put, if ZAR strengthens, then the industrial metals market is robust; if it falls then the reverse is true.

UK 10 year gilts – 16 October 2024

UK 10 year gilts update – 23 October 2024

Bitcoin long range – 16 October 2024

A new post Bitcoin long range – 16 October 2024

Shanghai Composite Index update – 20 September 2024

Shanghai Composite Index update – 20 September 2024

10 year US Treasury notes – 19 September 2024

10 year US Treasury notes – 19 September 2024

Shanghai Composite Index – 11 September 2024

Even if you do not trade China, understanding market sentiment there is key to a host of other macro elements

Bitcoin update – 10 September 2024

Bitcoin update – 10 September 2024

Copper update – 6 September 2024

Copper update – 6 September 2024

Dollar Index – 5 September 2024

US Dollar update 5 September 2024

S&P500 E-minis update – 4 September 2024

ES futures update 4 September 2024

Natural Gas – 3 September 2024

Natural Gas 3 September 2024

Natural Gas – 6 August 2024

Natural Gas – 6 August 2024

US Ten Year Yield – 13 February 2024

US Ten Year Yield – 80 day cycle peak zone.

US Dollar update – 16 January 2024

US Dollar – heading to next 40 day cycle peak with longer uptrend tailwind

Natural Gas update – 3 January 2024

Natural Gas – break out occurred, now approaching 80 day cycle peak zone

Bitcoin update – 3 January 2024

Bitcoin – considering 20 week cycle peak in place

Natural Gas update – 18 December 2023

Natural Gas – the current rally only looks to be at 20 day cycle magnitude

Lithium ETF near term update – 8 December 2023

Lithium ETF – near term minimum of 80 day cycle trough at hand

Nifty 50 futures – 8 December 2023

Nifty 50 futures – in 20 week cycle peak zone

Tesla update – 7 December 2023

Tesla – weak 40 day trough zone, 80 day and 20 week cycles down

Lithium ETF – 6 December 2023

Lithium ETF – ingrained downtrend informs intermediate term roadmap

Bund futures revision – 5 December 2023

Bund futures revision – pushing towards 80 day cycle peak then hard reset

British pound | Japanese yen – 4 December 2023

GBPJPY – dropping towards the 20 week cycle trough

Uranium ETF update- 30 November 2023

Uranium ETF – 40 day cycle has peaked and perhaps even the 20 week cycle too

VIX Index (CBOE Volatility) – 29 November 2023

VIX Index – testing key support in 20 week nest of lows

Natural Gas update – 16 November 2023

Natural Gas – due a 20 day cycle peak and then down into a deeper 40 day cycle trough

S&P500 E-minis update – 15 November 2023

S&P500 E-Minis – pushing higher towards 40 day cycle peak

Ethereum update – 15 November 2023

Ethereum – in a new 18 month cycle upswing and potentially bouncing out of a new 40 day cycle trough here

Swedish vs Norwegian Krona – 7 November 2023

SEKNOK – heading towards 40 day cycle peak within longer uptrend component

US 10 Year Yield – 3 November 2023

US 10 year – heading into 40 day cycle trough within broader downside reversal

Uranium ETF re-analysis – 3 November 2023

Uranium ETF – heading into 40 day cycle peak within broader uptrend

Ethereum – 1 November 2023

Ethereum – in new 18 month cycle upswing, but near term resistance approaching

Uranium ETF- 30 October 2023

Uranium ETF – falling into a 40 day cycle trough, with broader 20 week cycle downswing

NIFTY Index (India)- 27 October 2023

Nifty Index – in 18 month cycle trough zone

Shanghai Composite Index – 26 October 2023

Shanghai Composite – broadly still falling towards an 18 month cycle trough, but 20 week cycle trough at hand near term

ASX200 (Australian index) – 24 October 2023

ASX200 – falling into an 18 month cycle trough

Tesla update – 20 October 2023

Tesla – closing in on 80 day cycle trough

Bitcoin update – 18 October 2023

Bitcoin- 40 day cycle peaked early?

Saseidx Index (TASI, Saudi Arabia)- 17 October 2023

TASI – has the 80 day cycle bottomed here?

S&P500 E-Minis – 13 October 2023

SPX E-Minis – 40 day cycle peak in place? Bearish forces at work on several timeframes

US Dollar – 12 October 2023

US Dollar 80 day cycle trough in?

Natural Gas – 10 October 2023

Nearing 80 day cycle peak

TESLA – 5 October 2023

TSLA – new 80 day cycle upswing underway?

US Dollar Index update – 28 September 2023

The 40 day cycle may have just peaked

S&P500 E-Minis update – 28 September 2023

Stalking the 40 day cycle trough

FTSE 100 – 26 September 2023

FTSE 100 – closing in on a 40 day cycle trough